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Thursday, February 23, 2017

Is Oil About to Head Higher?

Oil stocks may be about to become very profit-friendly. Over the past 10 years, the WTI ETF (NYSEMKT: USO) has been a strong performer ahead of the annual gasoline switch-over.


Find this chart helpful? Support our work with a subscription. For only $3.99 per month, you'll receive a quarterly excel spreadsheet providing 10-year seasonal performance history on more than 1,500 stocks and ETFs (including the USO).


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Used by some of the largest mutual and hedge funds across the country, we've developed this database specifically for individual investors.

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Monday, February 20, 2017

Is there more room left for top semiconductor stocks to go higher? Seasonality says yes. Here's the 10 year returns for the XSD by month.



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Used by some of the largest mutual and hedge funds across the country, we've developed this database specifically for individual investors.

Every day, more and more professional money managers are turning to seasonality to help determine when to buy, sell or hold.  Our institutional clients include some of the largest managers in the country.  And, they're increasingly incorporating seasonal strategies into their portfolios.




Saturday, February 18, 2017

Exciting News! Our best stocks and worst stocks subscription service is available now

We are rolling out subscriptions that will allow you to get the same institutional research that lands in the inboxes of some of the country's largest money managers. We can't give you everything that we give the big mutual funds, but we can give you a lot of it! For instance, every week, you'll get our top stock picks across ADRs, large cap stocks, mid cap stocks and small cap stocks, sent directly to your inbox. This is amazing access to the same top stock picks we share with professional mutual fund and hedge fund managers.

Why would seasonality investors be interested in this source of weekly stock picks? Because seasonality a major component of the score given to these stocks every week. EPS growth, EPS beats, valuation, insider buys, technicals, and short interest (as a contrary indicator) are also factored into the score.

If you're hunting for a source for great new investment ideas, then this service is for you. You can subscribe for only $9.99 per month, and you can cancel your subscription at any time. We also promise to keep this discounted subscription rate at this price through 2018.

What will you get? Here's our latest large cap best stocks report. Once you're done reading, please remember to scroll back up here to subscribe!



 

Large Cap Best and Worst Stocks Report

Referrals are welcome and appreciated!


  • The best large cap stock sector is industrial goods.
  • The top scoring large cap stock industry is restaurants
The average score in our large cap stock universe is 69.77. Over the past four weeks, the average large cap stock score is 66.57. The average large cap stock is trading -9.59% below its 52 week high, 5.93% above its 200 dma, has 4.73 days to cover short, and is expected to grow EPS by 12.58% in the coming year. Industrial goods, technology, and financials are the top scoring large cap sectors. Services stocks score in line. Basic materials, healthcare, and utilities stocks score below average.

LARGE CAP






# Stocks
Average
Median
% 75 and above
% 25 and below
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
50
80.4
80
70.00%
0.00%
TECHNOLOGY
101
75.2
75
59.41%
2.97%
FINANCIALS
103
72.0
70
47.57%
0.00%
SERVICES
117
70.0
70
43.59%
1.71%
BASIC MATERIALS
80
66.1
65
36.25%
1.25%
HEALTHCARE
68
65.7
65
38.24%
1.47%
CONSUMER GOODS
74
65.1
65
35.14%
1.35%
UTILITIES
29
56.9
60
6.90%
0.00%

The following are the best and worst scoring large cap stocks this week (highlighted stocks are new to the best stock list this week).


LG CAP


2/18/2017
4 Week MA
Company Name
Symbol
Sector
SCORE
SCORE
BEST




Microchip Tech
MCHP
TECHNOLOGY
115
115
A G C O Corp
AGCO
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
110
110
Gallagher Arthur J. & Co.
AJG
FINANCIALS
110
108.75
Amphenol Corp
APH
TECHNOLOGY
110
93.75
Mettler Toledo Inc.
MTD
TECHNOLOGY
110
96.25
Republic Services
RSG
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
110
110
Albemarle Corp
ALB
BASIC MATERIALS
105
106.25
B B & T Corp.
BBT
FINANCIALS
105
103.75
BE Aerospace Inc
BEAV
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
105
102.5
Bank of Montreal
BMO
FINANCIALS
105
102.5
CDW Corp
CDW
TECHNOLOGY
105
102.5
CSX Corp
CSX
SERVICES
105
103.75
Dish Network Corp.
DISH
CONSUMER GOODS
105
102.5
Darden Restaurants Inc
DRI
SERVICES
105
102.5
Ebay Inc
EBAY
SERVICES
105
97.5
Energizer Hldgs Inc
ENR
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
105
98.75
Fiserv
FISV
TECHNOLOGY
105
82.5
Corning
GLW
TECHNOLOGY
105
103.75
Hasbro Inc
HAS
CONSUMER GOODS
105
93.75
Stryker Corp
SYK
HEALTHCARE
105
97.5
Waste Management
WM
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
105
85
Adobe Systems
ADBE
TECHNOLOGY
100
100
Analog Devices
ADI
TECHNOLOGY
100
97.5
Applied Materials
AMAT
TECHNOLOGY
100
98.75
Anadarko Peteroleum
APC
BASIC MATERIALS
100
101.25
C.R. Bard Inc.
BCR
HEALTHCARE
100
92.5
Borg Warner
BWA
CONSUMER GOODS
100
96.25
Caterpillar
CAT
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
100
96.25
CB Richard Ellis Group Inc
CBG
FINANCIALS
100
85
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
 CHKP
TECHNOLOGY
100
100
Campbell Soup
CPB
CONSUMER GOODS
100
97.5
Dun & Bradstreet
DNR
BASIC MATERIALS
100
96.25
Facebook
FB
TECHNOLOGY
100
92.5
FMC Corp
FMC
BASIC MATERIALS
100
102.5
HCA Holdings
HCA
HEALTHCARE
100
86.25
Int'l Business Machines
IBM
TECHNOLOGY
100
98.75
Lear Corp
LEA
CONSUMER GOODS
100
97.5
NCR Corp
NCR
TECHNOLOGY
100
98.75
ServiceNow
NOW
TECHNOLOGY
100
98.75
Restaurant Brands Int'l
QSR
SERVICES
100
92.5
Reliance Steel & Alum.
RS
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
100
85
Sprint Nextel
S
TECHNOLOGY
100
97.5
Snap On Inc
SNA
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
100
91.25
Synopsys Inc
SNPS
TECHNOLOGY
100
92.5
Splunk
SPLK
TECHNOLOGY
100
77.5
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
TECHNOLOGY
100
98.75
TransUnion
TRU
SERVICES
100
78.75
Wyndham Worldwide
WYN
SERVICES
100
100
Yum! Brands
YUM
SERVICES
100
80
WORST




Anglogold
AU
BASIC MATERIALS
20
18.75
Gannett Co. Inc.
GCI
SERVICES
20
21.25
Kinross Gold
KGC
BASIC MATERIALS
20
18.75
Twitter, Inc.
TWTR
TECHNOLOGY
20
28.75
Alnylam Pharma
ALNY
HEALTHCARE
25
18.75
China Mobile (Hong Kong) Ltd
CHL
TECHNOLOGY
25
25
Limited Brands
LB 
SERVICES
25
28.75
Vodafone
VOD
TECHNOLOGY
25
21.25
Western Union
WU
SERVICES
25
27.5
Xerox Corporation
XRX
CONSUMER GOODS
25
21.25

The best large cap industry is restaurants (DRI, YUM, QSR, MCD). Semi ICs (SWKS, TSM, AVGO), healthcare plans (UNH, HUM, CI, ANTM, AET), lodging (WYN, MAR, H), and major chemicals (FMC, EMN, SHW, DOW, ASH, APD) are also top scoring this week.

Large Cap
2/18/2017
INDUSTRY
SCORE
BEST

RESTAURANTS
93.00
SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS
91.25
HEALTH CARE PLANS
90.00
LODGING
87.50
CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED
86.67
WORST

FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED
45.00
TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC
45.00
GOLD
37.00

In basics, concentrate on major chemicals stocks and ag chemicals (DD, CF, AGU, MOS). The best consumer goods industries are cigarettes (MO, RAI, PM), processed & packaged goods (CPB, CAG), and auto parts (LEA, BWA, MGA). Insurance brokers (AJG, MMC), money center banks (PNC, JPM, BNS, BK), and P&C insurers (ALL, ACGL, XL) are top scoring stocks in financials. Healthcare plans and medical instruments (SYK, BCR, COO, BSX, BAX) are the best stocks in healthcare. The strongest baskets in industrial goods are aerospace/defense (RTN, NOC, BA, HON), diversified machinery (ITW, IR, FLS), and farm & construction machinery (AGCO, CAT, DE). Restaurant stocks, lodging stocks, and railroads (CSX, UNP, NSC, KSU) are strongest in services. Across technology, focus on semi IC stocks, semi equipment & materials (AMAT, KLAC, ASX), and diversified computer systems (LVLT).

LG CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR

2/18/2017
Sector
Industry
SCORE



BASIC MATERIALS
CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED
86.67
BASIC MATERIALS
AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS
82.00
BASIC MATERIALS
OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING
70.00
BASIC MATERIALS
STEEL & IRON
66.43
BASIC MATERIALS
OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES
64.50
BASIC MATERIALS
INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS
62.81
BASIC MATERIALS
OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION
61.67
BASIC MATERIALS
INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS
57.50
BASIC MATERIALS
OIL & GAS PIPELINES
55.00
BASIC MATERIALS
MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS
53.75
BASIC MATERIALS
GOLD
37.00
CONSUMER GOODS
CIGARETTES
86.67
CONSUMER GOODS
PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS
78.57
CONSUMER GOODS
AUTO PARTS
77.00
CONSUMER GOODS
PERSONAL PRODUCTS
59.00
CONSUMER GOODS
TEXTILES
58.89
CONSUMER GOODS
AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR
57.14
CONSUMER GOODS
BEVERAGES
52.78
CONSUMER GOODS
FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED
45.00
FINANCIALS
INSURANCE BROKERS
86.67
FINANCIALS
MONEY CENTER BANKS
82.78
FINANCIALS
PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE
77.14
FINANCIALS
REGIONAL BANKS
77.00
FINANCIALS
BUSINESS SERVICES
73.75
FINANCIALS
CREDIT SERVICES
70.00
FINANCIALS
FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS
69.00
FINANCIALS
LIFE INSURANCE
68.33
FINANCIALS
ASSET MANAGEMENT
66.25
FINANCIALS
REITS
66.00
FINANCIALS
INVESTMENT BROKERAGE
63.75
FINANCIALS
SAVINGS & LOANS
60.00
HEALTHCARE
HEALTH CARE PLANS
90.00
HEALTHCARE
MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES
85.71
HEALTHCARE
MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT
63.13
HEALTHCARE
BIOTECHNOLOGY
61.36
HEALTHCARE
DRUG MANUFACTURERS
53.16
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES
85.00
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY
84.17
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY
78.00
INDUSTRIAL GOODS
INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS
72.50
SERVICES
RESTAURANTS
93.00
SERVICES
LODGING
87.50
SERVICES
RAILROADS
78.00
SERVICES
CATV SYSTEMS
75.00
SERVICES
AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES
70.00
SERVICES
DRUGS WHOLESALE
66.67
SERVICES
DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES
65.00
SERVICES
ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED
63.75
SERVICES
GROCERY STORES
62.50
SERVICES
DRUG STORES
61.67
SERVICES
RESORTS AND CASINOS
61.67
SERVICES
APPAREL STORES
60.00
SERVICES
DEPARTMENT STORES
60.00
TECHNOLOGY
SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS
91.25
TECHNOLOGY
SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS
84.00
TECHNOLOGY
DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS
83.33
TECHNOLOGY
INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES
79.50
TECHNOLOGY
SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE
79.00
TECHNOLOGY
SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS
78.75
TECHNOLOGY
SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED
77.50
TECHNOLOGY
COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT
76.25
TECHNOLOGY
DATA STORAGE DEVICES
73.33
TECHNOLOGY
BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES
73.00
TECHNOLOGY
APPLICATION SOFTWARE
72.22
TECHNOLOGY
TECHNICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE
72.00
TECHNOLOGY
DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES
65.00
TECHNOLOGY
INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER
59.17
TECHNOLOGY
WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS
58.13
TECHNOLOGY
TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC
45.00
UTILITIES
FOREIGN UTILITIES
66.67
UTILITIES
DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES
59.44
UTILITIES
ELECTRIC UTILITIES
51.79